Relations between China and India took a violent turn in the summer of 2020, when soldiers patrolling their contested Himalayan land border engaged in a deadly hand-to-hand melee for the first time in over four decades. In the weeks and months that followed, both sides repositioned tens of thousands of troops closer to the border and maneuvered for tactical advantage. Since then, India and China have failed to reach a mutually acceptable resolution to their standoff. Despite 14 rounds of military-led talks, new frictions have emerged and the potential for renewed violence is real.

The dispute is no longer confined to the border, spilling into the broader bilateral relationship, and instigating fiercely nationalistic public discussion in both China and India. Other bilateral disputes unrelated to border tensions, both new and old, raise doubts about whether Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Xi Jinping now have the will — or even the ability — to steer their states back to a more cordial and cooperative path like the one they proclaimed at a 2018 summit.  

On February 10, USIP held the first virtual discussion in our event series “Conflict and Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific.” This inaugural conversation looked at the current state of India-China tensions, likely trends in the bilateral relationship and implications for the region and the world. Take part in the conversation on Twitter with #IndoPacificUSIP.

Speakers

Carla Freeman
Senior Expert, China, U.S. Institute of Peace  

Daniel Markey 
Senior Advisor, South Asia, U.S. Institute of Peace

Andrew Scobell
Distinguished Fellow, China, U.S. Institute of Peace 

Vikram Singh, moderator
Senior Advisor, Asia Center, U.S. Institute of Peace

Related Publications

China, Russia See SCO at Counterweight to NATO but India Is Ambivalent

China, Russia See SCO at Counterweight to NATO but India Is Ambivalent

Thursday, July 11, 2024

A week ahead of the NATO summit in Washington, leaders of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) gathered in Astana, Kazakhstan for the group’s annual meeting. Already one of the world’s largest regional organizations, the SCO added Belarus to the bloc at this year’s summit. Established by China and Russia in 2001, the SCO was originally focused on security and economic issues in Central Asia. But amid growing division and competition with the West, Beijing and Moscow increasingly position the growing bloc as a platform to promote an alternative to the U.S.-led order. Still, the organization’s expansion has been met with friction by some members.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

Dean Cheng on China’s Expanding Space Capabilities

Dean Cheng on China’s Expanding Space Capabilities

Monday, July 1, 2024

China’s successful trip to the far side of the moon — the first nation to accomplish the feat — is not only “great advertising” for potential technology partnerships, it’s “part of the larger Chinese space effort” that seeks to expand China’s own dual-use capabilities in space, says USIP’s Dean Cheng.

Type: Podcast

China in Peru: The Unspoken Costs of an Unequal Relationship

China in Peru: The Unspoken Costs of an Unequal Relationship

Monday, July 1, 2024

China’s political and economic influence in Latin America has increased dramatically since the turn of the century. This is especially true in resource-rich countries like Peru, where China has channeled billions of dollars of investment into the oil and mining sectors. This report takes a critical look at the narrative that closer engagement with China is the key to Peru’s future economic development and prosperity, and suggests ways that US agencies, corporations, and NGOs can support Peruvians’ efforts to create a more equitable balance in their country’s relationship with China.

Type: Special Report

Global Policy

US-China Rivalry in Asia and Africa: Lessons from the Cold War

US-China Rivalry in Asia and Africa: Lessons from the Cold War

Monday, June 24, 2024

One of the hallmarks of the Cold War era was a competition between the United States and its democratic allies, on the one hand, and Communist powers, on the other, for the allegiance of countries in Africa and Asia. In an echo of the Cold War, a similar competition between the United States and China is playing out today. This report examines the US-China rivalry then and now and offers insights and lessons that can guide US policymakers as they navigate the contemporary competition.

Type: Special Report

Global Policy

View All Publications