The consequences of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war against Ukraine continue to reverberate throughout Europe, challenging the rules-based international order for maintaining peace and security. While Putin had been aggressive in pursuit of his territorial ambitions in the past, the brazenness of Russia’s invasion last February made it clear that his pattern of escalation posed a major threat to peace throughout Europe. However, the Russian military’s poor performance in Ukraine thus far has left the conflict in a state of brutal attrition. And the question of whether these setbacks have shifted Putin's goals regarding Ukraine and beyond will be a major factor in shaping the West’s approach to Russia going forward.

Ukrainian soldiers operate a drone near the frontlines of the war with Russia. (Jim Huylebroek/The New York Times)
Ukrainian soldiers operate a drone near the frontlines of the war with Russia. (Jim Huylebroek/The New York Times)

On October 4, USIP held a Twitter Spaces conversation with Angela Stent, one of America’s foremost experts on Russia and Europe, regarding Putin’s evolving goals in Ukraine and the prospects for peace in Europe. The discussion looked at pressing questions on the short-term and long-term implications of Russia’s war against Ukraine for the United States, Europe and Russia.

Take part in the conversation on Twitter using #UkraineUSIP

Note: This live Twitter Space was hosted on USIP’s Twitter account, @USIP. The recording of this discussion is available on this page as an episode of the “USIP Events” podcast.

Speakers

Angela Stent
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution; Professor Emerita, Georgetown University
@AngelaStent

Mary Glantz, moderator
Senior Advisor, Russia and Europe Center, U.S. Institute of Peace
@MaryEGlantz

Related Publications

China and Ukraine: Pulling Its Weight with Russia or Potemkin Peacemaker?

China and Ukraine: Pulling Its Weight with Russia or Potemkin Peacemaker?

Friday, November 22, 2024

On Thursday, China’s ambassador, Ma Shengkun, presented his credentials at Ukraine’s Foreign Ministry. Ma, a career diplomat with a background in arms control, replaces Fan Xianrong who had held the post for the past four and a half years. While a diplomatic reshuffle was due, the timing of the turnover and the selection of Ma, in tandem with other recent developments, suggest that China discerns a gradual gathering of momentum for a peace process or truce talks in coming months. In short, Beijing may be seeking to posture itself in anticipation of a new initiative to end — or at least pause — the war in Ukraine.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

China’s Dilemmas Deepen as North Korea Enters Ukraine War

China’s Dilemmas Deepen as North Korea Enters Ukraine War

Thursday, November 14, 2024

Until late October, the big questions about China’s role in the Ukraine conflict centered around whether Beijing would choose to expand its support for Russia to include lethal aid, or if it might engage in more active peacemaking to end the conflict. Then, on November 4, the Pentagon confirmed that North Korea sent more than 10,000 troops to Russia’s Kursk oblast, where Ukraine had captured some territory earlier this year. Days later, the State Department confirmed that North Korean soldiers had begun fighting Ukrainian troops.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal Policy

Australia’s Strategic Thinking on the War in Ukraine, NATO, and Indo-Pacific Security

Australia’s Strategic Thinking on the War in Ukraine, NATO, and Indo-Pacific Security

Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Russia’s war against Ukraine has spurred closer cooperation between Euro-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific states and organizations, particularly Australia and NATO, signaling a deepening of ties that could have long-term benefits for global security. Over the long term, writes security expert Gorana Grgić, such alignment is crucial for signaling to potential aggressors that global coalitions are prepared to respond. This report analyzes Australia’s response in order to examine Canberra’s strategic thinking with respect to cross-theater cooperation, and it offers recommendations for US, NATO, and Australian policymakers.

Type: Special Report

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal Policy

How Ukraine is Navigating Russia’s Weaponization of Religion

How Ukraine is Navigating Russia’s Weaponization of Religion

Tuesday, November 5, 2024

Since 2014, Ukraine has been trying to repel escalating Russian aggression. But while Russia is a much larger country, with far more weaponry and manpower, their efforts to undermine Ukrainian state sovereignty extend far beyond armed combat. The Kremlin has used its close ties to the Russian Orthodox Church (ROC) to weaponize religion in favor of Russian interests.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionReligion

View All Publications