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Will the Israeli Bombings in Syria Spark a Regional Crisis?

Will the Israeli Bombings in Syria Spark a Regional Crisis?

Wednesday, May 8, 2013

USIP’s Lucy Kurtzer-Ellenbogen assesses the fallout from the Israeli air strikes in Syria, and the likelihood for an acute regional crisis. Israel has not formally confirmed its role in the two airstrikes on Syrian targets earlier this month, but unofficial Israeli acknowledgement, and intelligence corroboration (including from the U.S.) confirm that Israel was behind the bombings.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

Lifting the Pall Over Afghanistan’s 2014 Election: A Fresh Look at 2009

Lifting the Pall Over Afghanistan’s 2014 Election: A Fresh Look at 2009

Thursday, May 2, 2013

Afghanistan’s 2009 elections are often viewed as extremely fraudulent and as having produced an illegitimate outcome. However, despite many challenges, the 2009 elections were in some ways a success, and produced a legitimate outcome that adhered to the constitution and the country’s electoral laws. There is an opportunity now, before the 2014 elections in Afghanistan, to learn from these elections.

Type: Analysis

'Big Data,' Text Messages Can Aid, Not Drive Conflict Prevention

'Big Data,' Text Messages Can Aid, Not Drive Conflict Prevention

Tuesday, April 30, 2013

New technologies can be effective tools for preventing conflicts, but they have to be part of a coordinated strategy rather than the driving factor for a prevention effort, according to findings from an examination of cases in multiple countries on three continents.

Type: Analysis

Atrocity Prevention at the State Level

Atrocity Prevention at the State Level

Monday, April 29, 2013

In “Atrocity Prevention at the State Level,” Jonas Claes examines how states can mitigate the internal risk of atrocities through security sector reform and improved horizontal equality.

Type: Peace Brief

Regional Politics and The Prospects for Stability in Afghanistan

Regional Politics and The Prospects for Stability in Afghanistan

Monday, April 29, 2013

The United States is planning its withdrawal from Afghanistan as the country faces three interrelated challenges: a weak national state, rising Islamic radicalism based in Pakistan’s tribal belt, and zero-sum regional politics. The stage is set for a balance-of-power contest between India and Pakistan played out in Afghanistan that could fuel another civil war in the country. This report details the nature of the tension between India and Pakistan over Afghanistan and outlines steps that the ...

Type: Peaceworks

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

What’s Next for Security in the Niger Delta?

What’s Next for Security in the Niger Delta?

Friday, April 26, 2013

The Nigerian government’s 2009 amnesty of militants in the Niger Delta dramatically reduced the violence that had plagued the region and restored preinsurgency levels of oil production. However, many of the problems that sparked violent confrontations remain unaddressed. This new Special Report draws on the views of many sectors of Nigerian society to gauge whether peace on the delta can be sustained.

Type: Special Report

Conflict Analysis & PreventionEnvironmentEconomics