The war in Ukraine, the socioeconomic fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the impacts of climate change all threaten Africa's development progress, including the 2030 U.N. Sustainable Development Goals and the African Union's Agenda 2063. This trifecta of crises has instigated or exacerbated trade disruption, food and fuel price spikes, macroeconomic instability, and security challenges — with vulnerable groups bearing a heavy brunt of the swift and hard-hitting effects. Left unchecked, the situation could trigger social tensions, undermine democratization, and fuel political instability. But while these concerns are well-founded, the current upheaval also offers African countries the chance to build economic and other capacities from within.

English

French

The Russian-Ukrainian war, in particular, has upended long-term trends on the continent. Although some African countries may benefit from a shift in global markets away from Russia, the short-term impact on economic livelihoods could be devastating. As it stands, debt distress and economic inequality stand to increase — factors that could constrain overall economic activity on the continent. Meanwhile, the war also has major implications for pan-African solidarity and adherence to multilateralism, as weakened multilateralism in Africa would unravel significant development progress achieved over the past few decades and roll back gains made in fighting COVID-19 globally. 

On June 14, USIP held a conversation on how Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the COVID-19 pandemic, and climate change have shifted Africa’s development situation. The discussion also looked at how the international development community can collaborate with the continent so that Africans exit this turbulent period with a newfound capacity for developing their own economic future.

Take part in the conversation on Twitter with #AfricasEconomicFuture.

Speakers

Joseph Sany, welcoming remarks 
Vice President, Africa Center, U.S. Institute of Peace

Ambassador Johnnie Carson
Senior Advisor, Africa Center, U.S. Institute of Peace

Ms. Ahunna Eziakonwa
U.N. Assistant- Secretary- General; U.N. Development Programme’s Assistant Administrator and Regional Bureau for Africa Director

Oge Onubogu, moderator 
Director, West Africa Programs,  U.S. Institute of Peace

Related Publications

Hard Work Ahead: Haiti’s Government Seeks to Restore Security with International Support

Hard Work Ahead: Haiti’s Government Seeks to Restore Security with International Support

Thursday, June 20, 2024

Many Haitians expressed genuine sympathy and shared loss when an American missionary couple, Davy and Natalie Lloyd, were killed by gangs alongside Jude Montis, the local director of the Missions in Haiti organization where they were working. Following a confusing few hours of attacks and counter-attacks by rival gangs on May 23, the tragic shootings and subsequent burning of the male bodies quickly made national news in the United States, in part because of the prominence of the couple — Natalie Lloyd is the daughter of Missouri State Representative Ben Baker and Davy Lloyd’s family is prominent in Oklahoma.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceJustice, Security & Rule of Law

¿Es la histórica elección de México una oportunidad para reiniciar la cooperación con los Estados Unidos?

¿Es la histórica elección de México una oportunidad para reiniciar la cooperación con los Estados Unidos?

Thursday, June 13, 2024

El 2 de junio, los mexicanos eligieron a la ex alcaldesa de la Ciudad de México y candidata del partido gobernante, Claudia Sheinbaum, como su próxima presidenta. Con un mandato electoral contundente, así como con una mayoría calificada en el Congreso, Sheinbaum ha prometido continuar el proyecto de la “Cuarta Transformación” de su predecesor, enfocado en reducir la pobreza, combatir la corrupción, promover la justicia social y lograr una distribución equitativa del ingreso bajo un estado fortalecido. En medio de esta mezcla de continuidad y cambio, Estados Unidos podría tener una oportunidad para reconstruir la deteriorada cooperación entre ambos países en materia de seguridad y reducción de la violencia, una de las prioridades de Sheinbaum y algo que será imposible de lograr sin una estrecha cooperación con Estados Unidos.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceGlobal Elections & Conflict

Vietnam’s Paradox: Domestic Tumult, Diplomatic Consistency

Vietnam’s Paradox: Domestic Tumult, Diplomatic Consistency

Thursday, June 13, 2024

Last September, President Biden and Vietnamese General Secretary Nguyễn Phú Trọng announced a new Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, raising U.S.-Vietnam relations to their highest level ever. Yet domestic politics in Vietnam have been rocky, with numerous leadership changes and increasing restrictions on civil society — raising uncertainty within Vietnam’s usually stable political system.

Type: Analysis

Global PolicyDemocracy & Governance

Is Mexico’s Historic Election an Opportunity to Reset Cooperation with the U.S.?

Is Mexico’s Historic Election an Opportunity to Reset Cooperation with the U.S.?

Thursday, June 13, 2024

On June 2, Mexicans elected former Mexico City mayor and governing party candidate Claudia Sheinbaum as their next president. With a compelling electoral mandate, as well as a qualified majority in Congress, Sheinbaum has vowed to continue her predecessor’s “Fourth Transformation” project, focused on reducing poverty, combatting corruption and promoting social justice and equal income distribution under a strengthened state. Amid this mix of continuity and change, the United States may have an opportunity to rebuild the two countries’ frayed cooperation on security and violence reduction, one of Sheinbaum’s priorities and something that will be impossible for her to achieve without close cooperation with the United States.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceGlobal Elections & Conflict

View All Publications