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Un travail ardu à venir : le gouvernement haïtien cherche à restaurer la sécurité avec le soutien international

Un travail ardu à venir : le gouvernement haïtien cherche à restaurer la sécurité avec le soutien international

Thursday, June 20, 2024

De nombreux Haïtiens ont exprimé une sympathie sincère et un sentiment de perte partagé lorsque des gangs ont tué un couple de missionnaires américains, Davy et Natalie Lloyd, ainsi que Jude Montis, le directeur local de l'organisation Missions en Haïti où ils travaillaient. À la suite de quelques heures confuses d'attaques et de contre-attaques entre gangs rivaux le 23 mai, les fusillades tragiques et la brûlure ultérieure des corps masculins ont rapidement fait la une des journaux nationaux aux États-Unis, en partie en raison de la notoriété du couple — Natalie Lloyd est la fille du représentant de l'État du Missouri, Ben Baker, et la famille de Davy Lloyd est éminente en Oklahoma.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceJustice, Security & Rule of Law

Hard Work Ahead: Haiti’s Government Seeks to Restore Security with International Support

Hard Work Ahead: Haiti’s Government Seeks to Restore Security with International Support

Thursday, June 20, 2024

Many Haitians expressed genuine sympathy and shared loss when an American missionary couple, Davy and Natalie Lloyd, were killed by gangs alongside Jude Montis, the local director of the Missions in Haiti organization where they were working. Following a confusing few hours of attacks and counter-attacks by rival gangs on May 23, the tragic shootings and subsequent burning of the male bodies quickly made national news in the United States, in part because of the prominence of the couple — Natalie Lloyd is the daughter of Missouri State Representative Ben Baker and Davy Lloyd’s family is prominent in Oklahoma.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceJustice, Security & Rule of Law

Five Factors Shaping the Future of Egypt-Israel Relations

Five Factors Shaping the Future of Egypt-Israel Relations

Thursday, June 13, 2024

The Gaza war has strained Egyptian-Israeli relations to an unprecedented level and raised questions about the future of their 1979 peace treaty that has been a cornerstone of Arab-Israeli peace. U.S. officials met recently in Cairo with their Israeli and Egyptian counterparts against a backdrop of mutually diminishing confidence between the two parties, particularly following Israel’s ground offensive in Rafah. This comes on the heels of a shooting incident between Israeli and Egyptian forces that left at least one Egyptian soldier dead, and Egypt joining South Africa’s case against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ). Along with Qatar, Egypt is a key broker in the current Israel-Hamas cease-fire efforts and engages in extensive security cooperation with the U.S. and Israel.

Type: Question and Answer

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

Boiling the Frog: China’s Incrementalist Maritime Expansion

Boiling the Frog: China’s Incrementalist Maritime Expansion

Thursday, June 13, 2024

For over three decades, Beijing has deployed an initially slow but now accelerating campaign to degrade Philippine maritime rights and access in the West Philippine Sea. This long-term effort has been characterized by often seemingly benign actions and even conciliatory rhetoric interspersed with escalatory words and deeds designed to test the thresholds of neighbors and allies. Today, China’s rising aggression in the West Philippine Sea and broader South China Sea has pushed the region to the precipice of conflict.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

Vietnam’s Paradox: Domestic Tumult, Diplomatic Consistency

Vietnam’s Paradox: Domestic Tumult, Diplomatic Consistency

Thursday, June 13, 2024

Last September, President Biden and Vietnamese General Secretary Nguyễn Phú Trọng announced a new Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, raising U.S.-Vietnam relations to their highest level ever. Yet domestic politics in Vietnam have been rocky, with numerous leadership changes and increasing restrictions on civil society — raising uncertainty within Vietnam’s usually stable political system.

Type: Analysis

Global PolicyDemocracy & Governance

Venezuela’s Election Outcome Isn’t a Done Deal Just Yet

Venezuela’s Election Outcome Isn’t a Done Deal Just Yet

Thursday, June 13, 2024

With less than two months before Venezuela’s presidential election, President Nicolas Maduro faces a stark choice. Should he be beaten at the polls, as opinion surveys suggest he will be, Maduro could concede defeat and negotiate a transfer of power with safeguards against legal persecution. Or he could try to steal or invalidate the election. Most observers assume Maduro will opt for the latter, but doing so could put him at even greater personal risk.

Type: Analysis

Global Elections & Conflict

El Resultado de las Elecciones en Venezuela Aún No Está Decidido

El Resultado de las Elecciones en Venezuela Aún No Está Decidido

Thursday, June 13, 2024

Con menos de dos meses para las elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela, el presidente Nicolás Maduro enfrenta una decisión crucial. Si es derrotado en las urnas, como sugieren las encuestas, Maduro podría aceptar la derrota y negociar un traspaso de poder con protecciones contra persecución legal. O podría intentar robarse o invalidar la elección. La mayoría de los observadores asumen que Maduro optará por lo último, pero hacerlo podría ponerlo en un riesgo personal aún mayor.

Type: Analysis

Global Elections & Conflict

Is Mexico’s Historic Election an Opportunity to Reset Cooperation with the U.S.?

Is Mexico’s Historic Election an Opportunity to Reset Cooperation with the U.S.?

Thursday, June 13, 2024

On June 2, Mexicans elected former Mexico City mayor and governing party candidate Claudia Sheinbaum as their next president. With a compelling electoral mandate, as well as a qualified majority in Congress, Sheinbaum has vowed to continue her predecessor’s “Fourth Transformation” project, focused on reducing poverty, combatting corruption and promoting social justice and equal income distribution under a strengthened state. Amid this mix of continuity and change, the United States may have an opportunity to rebuild the two countries’ frayed cooperation on security and violence reduction, one of Sheinbaum’s priorities and something that will be impossible for her to achieve without close cooperation with the United States.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceGlobal Elections & Conflict