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What’s at Stake in Guatemala’s Election Pause?

What’s at Stake in Guatemala’s Election Pause?

Thursday, July 6, 2023

Guatemalan voters defied predictions on June 25 by sending an anti-corruption crusader to runoff elections for the country’s presidency. Bernardo Arévalo, a professorial lawmaker and former diplomat, placed second in a crowded field, earning a place in the final round on August 20 against perennial presidential candidate and former First Lady, Sandra Torres.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & Governance

¿Qué está en juego luego de la pausa electoral en Guatemala?

¿Qué está en juego luego de la pausa electoral en Guatemala?

Thursday, July 6, 2023

El 25 de junio, los votantes guatemaltecos desafiaron las predicciones y enviaron a un líder anticorrupción a la segunda vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales. Bernardo Arévalo, catedrático de derecho y exdiplomático, quedó en segundo lugar en un campo muy competido, ganándose un puesto en la ronda final del 20 de agosto contra la eterna candidata presidencial y ex primera dama, Sandra Torres.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & Governance

Chinese Professional Military Education for Africa: Key Influence and Strategy

Chinese Professional Military Education for Africa: Key Influence and Strategy

Wednesday, July 5, 2023

One way the Communist Party of China seeks to increase the uptake of its norms, values, and institutional practices in Africa is by providing professional education and training opportunities to African military officers. In addition to promoting China’s governance models, these programs have graduates in top leadership positions across the continent, including presidencies and numerous top defense roles. This report urges US and Western policymakers to counter this influence by providing more opportunities for African officers to train in Western military institutions.

Type: Special Report

Education & Training

Mary Glantz on the NATO Summit and the Wagner Mutiny

Mary Glantz on the NATO Summit and the Wagner Mutiny

Wednesday, July 5, 2023

Ukraine’s potential admission into the Euro-Atlantic security alliance will top the agenda at next week’s summit in Lithuania. While it’s unlikely that there will be any clear-cut decision next week, “the opinion in the alliance is leading toward Ukraine moving faster rather than slower” in terms of joining, says USIP’s Mary Glantz. “I think history is on Ukraine’s side right now.”

Type: Podcast

There is a Path Forward in Haiti — But It’s Not the One We Are On

There is a Path Forward in Haiti — But It’s Not the One We Are On

Thursday, June 29, 2023

There are few international crises where the tension between international assistance and locally led solutions is in greater conflict than Haiti. Failure to get that balance right goes a long way toward explaining the failure to solve the crisis for the two long years since the assassination of Haiti’s president. The country has a long list of needs, including on pressing, immediate issues like food security, health care, rampant gang violence and education. Ultimately, Haiti needs a credible and transparent election to reset its political system. But the functioning transitional government it requires is something that can best be achieved through an assertive political process that blends outside assistance with independent local actors, bringing together all key stakeholders under international facilitation.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceMediation, Negotiation & Dialogue

Il y a une voie à suivre en Haïti - mais ce n'est pas celle que nous suivons

Il y a une voie à suivre en Haïti - mais ce n'est pas celle que nous suivons

Thursday, June 29, 2023

Il existe peu de crises internationales où la tension entre l'aide internationale et les solutions locales est plus conflictuelle qu'en Haïti. L'incapacité à trouver un juste équilibre explique en grande partie l'incapacité à résoudre la crise au cours des deux longues années qui ont suivi l'assassinat du président haïtien. Le pays a une longue liste de besoins, y compris sur des questions urgentes et immédiates telles que la sécurité alimentaire, les soins de santé, la violence endémique des gangs et l'éducation. En fin de compte, Haïti a besoin d'une élection crédible et transparente pour réinitialiser son système politique.

Type: Analysis

Democracy & GovernanceMediation, Negotiation & Dialogue

How to Meaningfully Address Men in the Women, Peace and Security Agenda

How to Meaningfully Address Men in the Women, Peace and Security Agenda

Wednesday, June 28, 2023

In the years since U.N. Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 1325 and the resulting Women, Peace and Security (WPS) agenda called for a gender perspective on peace and security, efforts have historically only addressed women and girls. However, feminist and women’s peace organizations have long recognized that for engagement on this issue to be meaningful, it cannot treat gender as a synonym for women.

Type: Analysis

Gender

The ‘Russia Factor’ in NATO-Japan Relations

The ‘Russia Factor’ in NATO-Japan Relations

Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Russia’s illegal and unprovoked aggression against Ukraine has changed Japan’s assessment of Russia, as well as Tokyo’s policy toward Moscow. In doing so, it has also brought NATO and Japan closer together in their views of Russia and led to broader NATO-Japan engagement. Whereas Russia was once a complicating factor in the NATO-Japan relationship, it is now a factor promoting relations.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

What Does the Wagner Mutiny Mean for Putin and His War on Ukraine?

What Does the Wagner Mutiny Mean for Putin and His War on Ukraine?

Tuesday, June 27, 2023

Before Vladimir Putin launched his illegal war on Ukraine, the Russian-funded paramilitary Wagner Group was an infamous, shadowy tool of Moscow’s foreign policy, advancing its objectives in the Middle East and Africa. After Putin’s February 2022 invasion, the private miliary company — led by Putin’s former chef, Yevgeny Prigozhin — became a critical cog of the Russian military’s war effort. But as cracks emerged across Russian society and within the elite over the war, Prigozhin has been one of the most outspoken critics, alienating his adversaries in Russia’s defense ministry. Eventually, Putin sided with Priogzhin’s opponents ordering Wagner to be officially subsumed within Ministry of Defense.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

Thomas Sheehy on U.S.-China Competition and Africa’s Critical Minerals

Thomas Sheehy on U.S.-China Competition and Africa’s Critical Minerals

Monday, June 26, 2023

While China “had a 20-year head start” on mining critical minerals in Africa, USIP’s Thomas Sheehy says the United States is looking to secure its own supply lines while avoiding adverse effects: “There’s a growing realization … that unless these minerals are developed in a way that works to the benefit of Africans, it’s simply not sustainable.”

Type: Podcast