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Taiwan’s New President Faces Tensions with China and Domestic Division

Taiwan’s New President Faces Tensions with China and Domestic Division

Thursday, June 6, 2024

Over four months after winning Taiwan’s presidential election, William Lai Ching-te from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) officially took office on May 20. Beijing fiercely criticized Lai’s inaugural address and conducted military drills and patrols around Taiwan in a bid to “punish” Lai for failing to heed China’s preferred positions. In the days following the speech, Lai also faced challenges at home, as opposition parties in Taiwan’s legislature passed a set of reform bills that critics warn could increase China’s ability to interfere in Taiwan’s domestic affairs.

Global Policy

¿Puede Bolivia evitar una nueva oleada de violencia electoral en 2025?

¿Puede Bolivia evitar una nueva oleada de violencia electoral en 2025?

Wednesday, June 5, 2024

Cuando el candidato de izquierda Luis Arce ganó las elecciones de Bolivia en 2020, muchos esperaban que el país finalmente pudiera entrar en un período de estabilidad y paz. La sorprendentemente pacífica transferencia de poder se produjo después de uno de los períodos más tumultuosos de la historia política reciente de Bolivia. El presidente Evo Morales, un líder indígena de izquierda, habia sido derrocado en 2019 después de protestas masivas y acusaciones de fraude electoral, seguidas por la controvertida presidencia interina de Jeanine Añez y las violentas y a veces letales protestas contra su gobierno, junto con la pandemia de COVID-19 en 2020. Cuando el moderado tecnócrata Arce ganó con una abrumadora victoria del 54% en la primera vuelta, se vio como un indicio que el país deseaba un semblante de unidad nacional y podría encontrar un espacio para sanar.

Type: Analysis

Global Elections & Conflict

Can Bolivia Avoid Renewed Election Violence in 2025?

Can Bolivia Avoid Renewed Election Violence in 2025?

Wednesday, June 5, 2024

When leftist candidate Luis Arce won Bolivia’s 2020 elections, many hoped that the country could finally enter a period of stabilization and peace. The surprisingly peaceful transfer of power came after one of the most tumultuous periods of recent Bolivian political history. President Evo Morales, a leftist indigenous leader, was ousted in 2019 after massive protests and electoral fraud allegations, followed by the controversial interim presidency of Jeanine Añez and the violent and sometimes lethal protests against her government, alongside the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. When the moderate, technocrat Arce won with an overwhelming 54% victory in the first round, it was seen as an indicator the country wanted a degree of national unity and could find the space to heal.

Type: Analysis

Global Elections & Conflict

Joseph Sany on the U.S. Withdrawal from Niger

Joseph Sany on the U.S. Withdrawal from Niger

Monday, June 3, 2024

The U.S. reached an agreement with Niger’s military junta to close two military bases in the country in what amounts to a “tactical setback” for counterterrorism efforts in the Sahel. But the closure also “forces the U.S. to review its military posture in the region,” says USIP’s Joseph Sany, adding “there may be other options.”

Type: Podcast

Cómo sacar a Venezuela de su ciclo de conflicto

Cómo sacar a Venezuela de su ciclo de conflicto

Thursday, May 30, 2024

Si la esperanza fuera una mercancía, estaría cotizándose alto en Venezuela actualmente. Desde que el enfoque internacional hacia la crisis venezolana se transformó de maximizar la presión sobre el régimen de Maduro mediante sanciones, amenazas y aislamiento diplomático hacia una solución negociada del conflicto, el pueblo venezolano ha permanecido firme en su determinación de llevar el proceso hasta una elección, ahora programada para el 28 de julio.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

How to Get Venezuela Out of its Cycle of Conflict

How to Get Venezuela Out of its Cycle of Conflict

Thursday, May 30, 2024

If hope were a commodity, it would be trading high in Venezuela this season. Since the international approach to the Venezuelan crisis shifted from maximizing pressure on the Maduro regime through sanctions, threats and diplomatic isolation to a negotiated solution to the conflict, the Venezuelan people have remained firm in their determination to see the process through to an election, now set for July 28th.

Type: Analysis

Global Policy

What Does Further Expansion Mean for the Shanghai Cooperation Organization?

What Does Further Expansion Mean for the Shanghai Cooperation Organization?

Thursday, May 30, 2024

Last week, foreign ministers from member-states of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) gathered in Astana, Kazakhstan. The nine-member SCO — made up of China, India, Russia, Pakistan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan — represents one of the largest regional organizations in the world. And with the SCO’s annual heads-of-state summit slated for early July, the ministers’ meeting offers an important glimpse into the group’s priorities going forward. USIP’s Bates Gill and Carla Freeman examine how regional security made its way to the top of the agenda, China’s evolving role in Central Asia and why SCO expansion has led to frustrations among member states.

Type: Question and Answer

Global Policy

America’s Vital 21st-Century ‘Partnership With Africa’ — and Kenya’s Key Role

America’s Vital 21st-Century ‘Partnership With Africa’ — and Kenya’s Key Role

Wednesday, May 29, 2024

The state visit to Washington last week by Kenya’s President William Ruto provides a moment in which to assess not simply a major U.S. bilateral partnership in Africa, but the progress of the United States’ declared intent to build a strategic partnership with the continent overall. The U.S. government in 2022 declared that partnership vital to U.S. interests — a recognition of Africa’s rising economic potential and its inevitably central role in all efforts to build global stability and prosperity in this century. Former assistant secretary of state for Africa Johnnie Carson, now a senior advisor at USIP, assessed the visit and the progress in building that new, transatlantic partnership.

Type: Question and Answer

Global Policy