Naiyu Kuo is a research analyst on the China team at USIP. Her work at the Institute focuses on cross-Strait development, Taiwan’s politics and national security, U.S.-Taiwan relations, and the People’s Liberation Army.

She previously served as a consultant for China and Northeast Asia at Eurasia Group, advising clients around the globe on political risks related to China and Taiwan. Prior to that, she interned with the Congressional Affairs team at the National Bureau of Asian Research. Her analysis has been quoted by major media outlets such as South China Morning Post and Business Insider.

Kuo holds a master’s degree in international affairs with concentrations in Asia and international security from George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs. She also holds a bachelor’s degree from National Chengchi University in Taiwan. She is native in Mandarin and proficient in Korean.

Publications By Naiyu

China’s Dilemmas Deepen as North Korea Enters Ukraine War

China’s Dilemmas Deepen as North Korea Enters Ukraine War

Thursday, November 14, 2024

Until late October, the big questions about China’s role in the Ukraine conflict centered around whether Beijing would choose to expand its support for Russia to include lethal aid, or if it might engage in more active peacemaking to end the conflict. Then, on November 4, the Pentagon confirmed that North Korea sent more than 10,000 troops to Russia’s Kursk oblast, where Ukraine had captured some territory earlier this year. Days later, the State Department confirmed that North Korean soldiers had begun fighting Ukrainian troops.

Type: Analysis

Conflict Analysis & PreventionGlobal Policy

North Korean Troops in Russia Show Putin Is Doubling Down on Ukraine War

North Korean Troops in Russia Show Putin Is Doubling Down on Ukraine War

Tuesday, October 29, 2024

After signing a mutual defense pledge in June, North Korea and Russia relations appear to be deepening. U.S. officials confirmed last week that North Korean troops, including elite special forces, were in Russia for training and potentially combat operations against Ukraine. This represents a “dangerous expansion of the war,” according to U.S. and NATO officials. It could also have serious ramifications for peace and security on the Korean Peninsula. South Korea is concerned that the deployment of North Korean troops could provide them valuable combat and technical experience. Meanwhile, China is watching closely to see what this means for its influence over North Korea and the implications for broader geopolitical tensions with the West.

Type: Question and Answer

Global Policy

China Responds to Taiwan’s Plea for Cross-Strait Peace with Military Pressure

China Responds to Taiwan’s Plea for Cross-Strait Peace with Military Pressure

Thursday, October 24, 2024

In his first National Day speech as Taiwan’s president, William Lai Ching-te called for regional peace while reaffirming that China and Taiwan “are not subordinate to each other.” Though Lai’s October 10 address was more restrained than past remarks, it was attacked by China’s state media as “highly provocative.” Days later, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) encircled Taiwan with record numbers of military aircraft and warships during a series of military “drills.”

Type: Question and Answer

Conflict Analysis & Prevention

As Taiwan Builds Resilience, Lai’s Tough Stance on China Risks Escalating Tensions

As Taiwan Builds Resilience, Lai’s Tough Stance on China Risks Escalating Tensions

Thursday, October 10, 2024

Facing a growing threat from China, Taiwan has taken several steps in recent years to strengthen its defense and deterrence capabilities. Predictably, much of this has involved traditional military initiatives, such as increased defense spending, investments in asymmetric capabilities and the extension of compulsory military service for men from four to 12 months. Elected this January, President William Lai Ching-te is continuing that work, but also stressing the role that civil society can play in preventing a war. By enhancing civil-military integration, improving preparedness across society and building overall resilience, Taiwan aims to erode Beijing's confidence in its ability to swiftly and easily seize control of the island. But to successfully deter an attack and preserve the cross-Strait status quo, leaders in Taipei must demonstrate resolve while avoiding unnecessary provocation.

Type: Analysis

Civilian-Military RelationsConflict Analysis & Prevention

Taiwan’s New President Faces Tensions with China and Domestic Division

Taiwan’s New President Faces Tensions with China and Domestic Division

Thursday, June 6, 2024

Over four months after winning Taiwan’s presidential election, William Lai Ching-te from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) officially took office on May 20. Beijing fiercely criticized Lai’s inaugural address and conducted military drills and patrols around Taiwan in a bid to “punish” Lai for failing to heed China’s preferred positions. In the days following the speech, Lai also faced challenges at home, as opposition parties in Taiwan’s legislature passed a set of reform bills that critics warn could increase China’s ability to interfere in Taiwan’s domestic affairs.

Global Policy

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